January 7, 2025

The 2025 Real Estate Report

Experts Predict Home Values to Increase 1.5% to 3.6% in 2025.


Top housing experts and economists give a glimpse of what mortgage rates, home values and the national real estate market will do in 2025. 


Key Takeaways



  • Mortgages are forecasted to remain higher for longer; but there are things you can do to lower your rate.
  • Home values are predicted to increase incrementally on a national level; and there are projects you can do to increase your home’s value.
  • The national market will slightly favor sellers in negotiations; however, real estate is driven by local dynamics and may favor either buyers or sellers.

Note: real estate is a dynamic market and forecasts made in this article will change as the year unfolds.


Mortgage Rates Will Average 6.4% in 2025


In 2023, the average 30-year mortgage peaked at 7.79% following the pandemic. Rates came down from that peak in 2024. What will mortgage rates do in the next year?


The Federal Reserve is predicted to lower the federal funds rate 6 to 8 times in 2025; but mortgage rates are not set by the Federal Reserve and may not drop significantly (National Association of REALTORS®). 


  1. Fannie Mae predicts mortgage rates to average 6.4% in 2025. Mortgage Bankers Association also predicts mortgage rates to average 6.4%, but with slightly higher rates compared to Fannie’s forecast.

Sources: Fannie Mae Housing Forecast: November 2024 and 

Mortgage Bankers Association Mortgage Finance Forecast: November 2024

When Will Mortgage Rates Drop Back to 3%?


Historically, rates have never been as low as the pandemic era interest rates. 30-Year mortgage rates averaged between 4% and 6% during & after the housing crisis and Great Recession. A return to a 3% range is very unlikely.

Source: Federal Reserve of St. Louis

Tips to get a better mortgage rate…


While we can’t affect the average 30 year mortgage rate, you can improve your credit and get the best possible rate. Here’s an example of recent mortgage rates by credit score:

Source: myFICO.com

If you’re thinking of making a move, the earlier you talk to a mortgage finance professional, the more time you have to work on improving your credit to get a better rate. 


Need a recommendation to a trusted lender? Send me a message.


Home Values Will Increase by 1.5% to 3.6%



Since 2020, the average sales price of a home has gone up by $97,000 or 29.7% (Federal Reserve of St. Louis). Which indicates homeownership to be a great investment. But, what will home values do in the next year?


On a national level, home price growth is predicted to slow down from 2024. However, home prices are predicted to increase in 2025. Fannie Mae predicts home prices to increase on average by 3.6%. MBA is predicting an average increase of 1.5%.

Sources: Fannie Mae Housing Forecast: November 2024 and
Mortgage Bankers Association Mortgage Finance Forecast: November 2024

Home values are influenced by local market dynamics. If you want to understand what home values are forecasted to do locally, consider talking to a real estate professional.


Want to increase your home’s value? Consider these remodeling projects for the highest return on investment.


Will Home Values Crash in 2025?


For home values to drop significantly, a major influx of homes for sale would have to hit the market. Freddie Mac estimates the U.S. housing stock is 3.7 million units below what’s needed to meet demand. It will take time to build up inventory to meet demand. Which is why a major drop in home values and prices is unlikely.


Will 2025 Be a Home Buyers or Sellers Market?



Who will have the advantage in the 2025 housing market, buyers or sellers? One measure of the market is Months Supply and it shows who has the advantage. 


Months Supply is calculated by dividing the total number of homes for sale by the average number of homes sold each month. For example if there are 500 homes for sale in a particular area and an average of 100 homes are selling each month, the Months Supply is 5 months. 


Here’s a chart of month’s supply going back to November of 2023:

Source: Federal Reserve of St. Louis

6 Months Supply is considered a balanced market. Over 6 months supply is considered a buyers’ market. Below 6 months supply is a sellers’ market. At 4 months supply on a national level, the market slightly favors sellers.

Inventory is rising nationally, however, which could shift the market to favor buyers in the next year. With that said, all real estate is local and local markets will differ in favoring buyers versus sellers.


If you want to know if your area favors buyers or sellers, send me a message.


What This Means for Homeowners


If you own a home, you will likely see a slight increase in your home's value. If you want to increase your home’s value and enjoy the upgrades, consider making some home improvements. If you want advice on which features or projects are best suited for increasing your home’s value, consult with a professional.


Tips for Potential Home Buyers


If you’re thinking of purchasing a home, the sooner you start planning the better. Knowing your price range, optimizing your credit, and working towards your down payment are steps you can take now. Even if you’re in the market to buy in the next 12 to 24 months, talking with a real estate professional early in the process will set you up for success.


Tips for Potential Home Sellers



Sellers need to prioritize their objectives. Is getting top dollar for your home the highest priority, is it moving within a specific timeframe? Do you have to sell a home prior to purchasing your next one? These objectives must be prioritized so that an effective plan and marketing strategy can be put into place. Thinking of making a move? Talk to a real estate professional!



Real Estate Forecast Outline


How’s the Market? Housing Experts Predict XX Change in 2025


Purpose / Intent Statement


Current State of Market

  • Interest Rates
  • Inflation
  • Economic Growth
  • Housing Supply & Demand


Key Factors Affecting 2025 Market

  • Discuss the specific factors that will shape the housing market in 2025.
  • Interest rates and inflation
  • Economic conditions and employment
  • Demographic shifts and migration patterns
  • Government policies and regulations
  • Technological advancements


Predictions and Trends

  • Will it be a buyer's or seller's market?
  • Which regions will see the most growth?
  • What types of properties will be in high demand?
  • Discuss emerging trends in the real estate industry.
  • Sustainable and eco-friendly housing
  • Smart home technology
  • Co-living and shared housing


Advice for Buyers and Sellers

  • Tips for getting pre-approved for a mortgage
  • Strategies for finding the right property
  • Advice on negotiating offers
  • Recommendations for staging and selling a home


Conclusion

  • Summarize the key takeaways from the article.
  • Offer a final thought or prediction about the 2025 housing market.
  • Include a call to action

Sources

Mortgage

Home Prices

By Vickie Landis Rentsel March 26, 2025
Unlock Your Dream Home: Pennsylvania First-Time Home Buyer Grants You Need to Know 
March 11, 2025
Tax season. Just the words can send shivers down your spine. But if you’re a homeowner, there’s a silver lining: potential savings! You’ve probably heard that you can deduct the interest you pay on your mortgage — but did you know there are many other ways homeowners can reduce their tax burden? Before you start your return, read this post for common home-related tax deductions, eligibility requirements, and tips on how to maximize your savings. Home-Related Tax Savings: The Basics Before we get into the details, it’s important to define some important terms to set the stage. Tax Deductions vs. Tax Credits Most tax savings opportunities for homeowners come in the form of tax deductions. Deductions work by reducing your taxable income — essentially, the government allows you to subtract certain expenses from your total income before calculating how much you owe in taxes. This means a lower taxable income and, ultimately, a lower tax bill. For example, if you earn $50,000 and claim tax deductions worth $5,000, you will only pay taxes on $45,000. Tax credits, on the other hand, directly reduce your tax bill, rather than your taxable income. That means that if you owe $10,000 in taxes and claim a tax credit worth $2,000, your tax bill will be reduced to $8,000. Pro Tip: Meticulous record-keeping is crucial. Keep detailed records of all potentially eligible expenses. This will make tax time much smoother and ensure you don’t miss out on any deductions. Itemized Deductions vs. Standard Deduction To understand what deductions apply to your situation, it’s important to know the difference between itemized deductions and the standard deduction . The standard deduction is a fixed dollar amount that you can subtract from your adjusted gross income (AGI) regardless of your actual expenses. Itemized deductions, on the other hand, are specific expenses that you can deduct, such as mortgage interest, property taxes, and charitable contributions. You’ll need to choose whether to itemize or take the standard deduction. Generally, you should itemize if your total itemized deductions exceed the standard deduction. Most home-related deductions are only applicable if you choose to itemize. 2025 Standard Deduction Amounts Single and Married Filing Separately: $15,000 Head of Household: $22,500 Married Filing Jointly: $30,000 1 Source: IRS Key Home-Related Tax Deductions and Credits If you do choose to itemize your taxes, common tax deductions and credits available to homeowners include: Mortgage Interest Deduction No one likes to pay mortgage interest, but the good news is that you can deduct interest used to buy or build your primary residence or a second home. However, there are certain limitations that you need to be aware of. 2 Mortgage size: If you file your taxes single or married filing jointly, you can deduct interest paid on the first $750,000 of mortgage debt 3 for your primary residence or second home. If you are married but choose to file separately, that limit drops to the first $375,000 (for each partner). Requirements: The mortgage interest deduction only applies if your home is collateral for the loan (which is standard). To qualify as a primary home, your property must have sleeping, cooking, and toilet facilities. If you are deducting mortgage interest on a second home, you don’t need to use the home during the year; however, if you rent it out, you must spend at least 14 days or more than 10% of the days you rented it out (whichever is longer). So, how do you calculate how much mortgage interest you’ve paid? The amount of interest you pay each year will vary, even if your interest rate is fixed — that’s because mortgage amortization 3 means that you pay more interest earlier in the mortgage’s term, and more principal closer to the end. Each year, your lender will send you (and the IRS) a copy of Form 1098 , which shows how much you paid in interest. 4 For example, let’s say you are a married homeowner filing jointly with a mortgage for $400,000. If your Form 1098 shows that you paid $25,000 in mortgage interest in 2025, you could deduct the full $25,000 from your 2025 household income. Real Estate Taxes (Property Taxes) You can deduct state and local real estate taxes (property taxes) you pay on your primary residence or second home. However, it’s crucial to understand what qualifies. Only property taxes imposed for “general public welfare” are deductible 5 —if your town imposes a special assessment for a project that directly improves your property value, like a sewer line, that is not deductible. Furthermore, fees for local services, such as trash collection or sewer maintenance, are not deductible, even though your town may list them on the same bill as your property taxes. There’s also a limit: the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act imposed a $10,000 cap on the total amount of state and local taxes (SALT) 6 you can deduct. This includes state and local income tax (or sales tax) as well as property taxes. Finally, be aware that the amount you deduct must match the amount actually paid to the tax authority.7 This might differ from what you put into escrow if you pay property taxes through your mortgage lender. Typically, the amount your lender paid to your tax authority is listed on Form 1098. Home Equity Loan Interest You can deduct the interest paid on home equity loans or home equity lines of credit, but with a significant caveat. Since 2017, that interest is only deductible if the loan proceeds are used to buy, build, or substantially improve 3 your primary residence or second home, and the loan is secured by the home. If you use the home equity loan for other purposes, such as a vacation, debt consolidation, or purchasing a car, the interest is generally not deductible. If you use part of the loan or line of credit for eligible purchases, and part for non-eligible purchases, only interest incurred on the portion used for eligible spending is deductible. Loan interest is also not deductible if the funds are used for home improvement projects or repairs that do not “substantially improve” your home. Smaller projects, like repainting or new cabinets, likely do not qualify. However, projects like building an addition, a full kitchen remodel, or installing a new roof should qualify as substantial improvements. It’s also important to note that home equity loan and HELOC interest rate deductions are subject to the same upper limits 3 as mortgages (and are added together with your mortgage for calculation purposes). For example, if you have a $500,000 mortgage and a $300,000 home equity line of credit—which together exceed the $750,000 limit for a married couple—you would only be able to deduct interest paid on the first $750,000 of those combined loans. Home Improvement Expenses You can’t usually deduct home improvement expenses directly.9 However, the money you spend on capital improvements (improvements that increase your home’s value) can help reduce your tax bill later. These expenses are added to your home’s “cost basis,” 10 which reduces your capital gains tax when you eventually sell the house. Think of it this way: by keeping records of your home improvements, you’re essentially increasing the “price” you’re considered to have paid for your home, thus lowering your profit when you sell. It’s important to note that not all projects qualify as capital improvement. Basic repairs and updates likely won’t qualify, while major additions and landscaping likely will (the considerations are the same as those used to determine whether home equity loan interest is deductible). Beyond capital improvement, there are a few specific categories of home improvement that are deductible, including work on home offices (which is subject to specific limitations) and certain modifications for medical/accessibility reasons. 11
February 7, 2025
Ask any homeowner about what they would like to change about their home, and most will say, “How much time do you have? Home improvements (cue Tim Allen) or home remodeling projects can stem from a variety of motivations, like preparing your home to put on the market, adding space for a growing family, addressing outdated features or aesthetics, or fixing structural/functional issues with the home. However, when it comes to home remodeling projects, too many people assume their project will proportionally increase the value of their home. Few actually consider the complete scope of return on investment (ROI), taking into account not only potential impact on resale value but also the total costs of time, labor, and materials. Some renovations may provide more “quality of life” ROI by improving comfort and aesthetics without significantly impacting resale value, while others can deliver notable financial returns. Whether you’re looking to upgrade your living space, increase the equity of your home, or trying to make some quick changes to improve your resale price, here are four remodeling projects with the highest ROI and some tips on how to get them done.
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